[00:00.00]本字幕由TME AI技术生成
[00:00.29]学者指出
[00:01.01]无论谁当伊朗的新领袖
[00:02.85]在战争中都不会选择投降
[00:05.43]原因不仅在于战场考量
[00:07.69]更与伊朗对能源资源与国家自主性的底线认知有关
[00:12.59]他认为美方诉求不仅是军事层面的施压
[00:16.14]更意在改变伊朗的战略选择与资源掌控方式
[00:20.77]Hedicaa about ad isi boys enjoying romoddy adeconon name me your tesi mbisish your boyer more of multple coconnan is the lowley
[00:29.79]You should hahave special your boyet chortbo connan your boyet he join ruu it dombit it we need to to on on that yet et he had don't get rifhim jm recall mmhatchchir iran teslibisshe tslibibihibish be see your order day see your satoi m recorrobipsision iran nami hodband passiger iran the hot naafdish gosage sh man obaised directly or cooodish worship lesaor chieh farw i could do susson boiriran an as a remder runish the bombed colner any boy yet tami cmicicbo corner
[01:08.18]And on the invasiard to iran between him or multiple corner
[01:12.24]I yeet iran bean there those a coffee slor door or she cafaken column
[01:16.12]And on the it tabitton silor a coffee or dosium or matgcocoren his neiiaramiimoiation well as hard that gh cush timission
[01:27.46]学者提到
[01:28.36]新领袖上任后
[01:32.56]如果战争结束后局势转向重建与稳定
[01:36.54]伊朗的内政和对外政策可能出现调整变化
[01:40.86]例如改善对外关系
[01:43.14]互联网政策变化例如提前选举等议题都可能被重新讨论
[01:48.66]但他强调
[01:49.90]这些都属于战后疫城
[01:52.31]战时仍将以不屈服为主轴
[01:55.99]对于停火与谈判前景
[01:57.87]学者认为美方如果此时宣布停火或走向谈判桌
[02:02.71]容易被视为退让
[02:04.55]因此短期内双方都面临很难下台阶的局面
[02:08.59]他判断接下来可能会出现更隐蔽的接触与斡旋
[02:12.87]但目前仍缺乏清晰的时间表
[02:27.81]在伊朗国内
[02:28.73]不投降仍被视为战时叙事的核心
[02:32.23]但与此同时
[02:33.35]关于如何结束战争
[02:34.95]以什么方式回到谈判中的讨论一再持续升温
[02:38.97]凤凰卫视与这卡穆森观看到报道
[02:42.94]凤凰fm 编辑整理